The-Joker

Приєднався жовт. 2025·57.2K переглядів

Portwatch Villain.

$87.9K

Вартість позицій

$11.1K

Найбільший виграш

2,414

Markets Traded

Загальний PnL: +$152.5K
Загальний обсяг: 8.1M

Прибуток/Збиток

$5,825.92

За день

Ринок

Сер

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 акцій

14¢

10.5¢

$12,934.59-$4,311.41 (-25%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14¢

123,186.6 акцій

$12,934.59-$4,311.41 (-25%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 акцій

89.8¢

95.6¢

$10,810.95$656.92 (6.47%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?

No 89.8¢

11,308.5 акцій

$10,810.95$656.92 (6.47%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 акцій

65¢

71.7¢

$9,877.58$918.86 (10.26%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 65¢

13,776.3 акцій

$9,877.58$918.86 (10.26%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 акцій

64¢

62.5¢

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 64¢

13,513.6 акцій

$8,446.03-$202.67 (-2.34%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 акцій

90.4¢

92.7¢

$6,705.77$163.83 (2.5%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 90.4¢

7,233.8 акцій

$6,705.77$163.83 (2.5%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 акцій

73¢

75¢

$5,687.42$151.72 (2.74%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 73¢

7,583.2 акцій

$5,687.42$151.72 (2.74%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 акцій

79.8¢

91.5¢

$5,132.05$654.95 (14.63%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 79.8¢

5,608.8 акцій

$5,132.05$654.95 (14.63%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 акцій

78¢

82.6¢

$3,304.00$184.00 (5.9%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No 78¢

4,000.0 акцій

$3,304.00$184.00 (5.9%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 акцій

70¢

58.5¢

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢

5,000.0 акцій

$2,925.00-$575.00 (-16.43%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 акцій

30.1¢

60¢

$2,760.23$1,373.58 (99.06%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.1¢

4,604.2 акцій

$2,760.23$1,373.58 (99.06%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 акцій

60.3¢

74¢

$2,246.64$414.80 (22.64%)

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

No 60.3¢

3,036.0 акцій

$2,246.64$414.80 (22.64%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 акцій

82¢

93.5¢

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 82¢

2,000.5 акцій

$1,870.50$230.06 (14.02%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 акцій

38.1¢

27.5¢

$1,472.58-$568.45 (-27.85%)

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?

Yes 38.1¢

5,354.9 акцій

$1,472.58-$568.45 (-27.85%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 акцій

48.2¢

24.5¢

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 48.2¢

5,839.9 акцій

$1,430.77-$1,385.49 (-49.2%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 акцій

57.8¢

51.5¢

$1,373.09-$168.86 (-10.95%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?

Yes 57.8¢

2,666.2 акцій

$1,373.09-$168.86 (-10.95%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 акцій

19.3¢

23.5¢

$1,288.65$230.48 (21.78%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 19.3¢

5,483.6 акцій

$1,288.65$230.48 (21.78%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 акцій

67.9¢

57¢

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 67.9¢

1,857.2 акцій

$1,058.62-$202.30 (-16.04%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 акцій

66.4¢

58.5¢

$923.19-$123.92 (-11.83%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 66.4¢

1,578.1 акцій

$923.19-$123.92 (-11.83%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 акцій

69.6¢

98.2¢

$838.37$243.89 (41.03%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?

No 69.6¢

854.2 акцій

$838.37$243.89 (41.03%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 акцій

72¢

80.5¢

$809.91$85.65 (11.83%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 72¢

1,006.1 акцій

$809.91$85.65 (11.83%)