balthazar

Приєднався січ. 2025·36.4K переглядів

$337.0K

Вартість позицій

$107.5K

Найбільший виграш

85,557

Markets Traded

Загальний PnL: +$1.1M
Загальний обсяг: 75.7M

Прибуток/Збиток

$7,834.59

За день

Ринок

Сер

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 акцій

50¢

90.5¢

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 акцій

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,310.8 акцій

84.7¢

76.6¢

$30,898.24-$3,245.33 (-9.5%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.7¢

40,310.8 акцій

$30,898.24-$3,245.33 (-9.5%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 акцій

77.8¢

86.8¢

$15,454.01$1,608.20 (11.62%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 акцій

$15,454.01$1,608.20 (11.62%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 акцій

81.5¢

77.5¢

$11,429.96-$586.02 (-4.88%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 акцій

$11,429.96-$586.02 (-4.88%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 акцій

69.5¢

81.5¢

$9,976.00$1,465.25 (17.22%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 акцій

$9,976.00$1,465.25 (17.22%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

46,606.5 акцій

11.1¢

20.5¢

$9,554.33$4,372.67 (84.39%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

46,606.5 акцій

$9,554.33$4,372.67 (84.39%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 акцій

63.8¢

90.5¢

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 акцій

$6,237.30$1,840.63 (41.86%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 акцій

33.7¢

68.5¢

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 акцій

$5,929.28$3,015.19 (103.47%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 акцій

61.7¢

86.5¢

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 акцій

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 акцій

50¢

9.5¢

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 акцій

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

6,296.1 акцій

75.7¢

76.5¢

$4,816.51$52.34 (1.1%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.7¢

6,296.1 акцій

$4,816.51$52.34 (1.1%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 акцій

78.2¢

91.5¢

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 акцій

$4,442.88$647.56 (17.06%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 акцій

91.8¢

96.7¢

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 акцій

$3,451.76$173.90 (5.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 акцій

62.7¢

86.5¢

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 акцій

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 акцій

64.5¢

97.9¢

$2,680.96$912.40 (51.59%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 акцій

$2,680.96$912.40 (51.59%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 акцій

26.4¢

19¢

$2,659.72-$1,039.45 (-28.1%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 акцій

$2,659.72-$1,039.45 (-28.1%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 акцій

95.3¢

98.1¢

$2,628.39$74.34 (2.91%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 акцій

$2,628.39$74.34 (2.91%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 акцій

11.6¢

18.5¢

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 акцій

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 акцій

20.1¢

11.5¢

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 акцій

$2,104.71-$1,565.59 (-42.66%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 акцій

90.8¢

79.5¢

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 акцій

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)