US national average regular gasoline price stands at $4.06 per gallon as of April 18, per AAA data, down slightly from $4.14 a week ago amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks following March escalations that spiked crude oil above $100 per barrel and retail prices 30% year-over-year. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a "Yes" for hitting $4.15 or higher by April 30 (86% implied probability on leading outcome), reflecting recent volatility from Iranian IRGC gunboat attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and risks of renewed supply disruptions despite increased tanker traffic. Key factors include seasonal summer driving demand ramp-up, refinery output post-maintenance, and upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on April 22 detailing inventories; diplomatic breakthroughs or further military actions could sharply sway outcomes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$320,613 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
↑ 5,00 $
1%
↑ 4,75 $
1%
↑ $4.50
3%
↑ 4,25 $
17%
↓ 3,95$
53%
↓ 3,85 $
14%
↓ 3,75 $
6%
↓ 3,50 $
4%
↓ 3,25$
2%
↓ 3,00 $
2%
$320,613 Hac.
↑ 5,00 $
$62,280 Hac.
1%
↑ 4,75 $
$41,900 Hac.
1%
↑ $4.50
$13,503 Hac.
3%
↑ 4,25 $
$22,128 Hac.
17%
↓ 3,95$
$7,342 Hac.
53%
↓ 3,85 $
$11,472 Hac.
14%
↓ 3,75 $
$6,994 Hac.
6%
↓ 3,50 $
$1,169 Hac.
4%
↓ 3,25$
$1,246 Hac.
2%
↓ 3,00 $
$2,227 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline price stands at $4.06 per gallon as of April 18, per AAA data, down slightly from $4.14 a week ago amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks following March escalations that spiked crude oil above $100 per barrel and retail prices 30% year-over-year. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a "Yes" for hitting $4.15 or higher by April 30 (86% implied probability on leading outcome), reflecting recent volatility from Iranian IRGC gunboat attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and risks of renewed supply disruptions despite increased tanker traffic. Key factors include seasonal summer driving demand ramp-up, refinery output post-maintenance, and upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on April 22 detailing inventories; diplomatic breakthroughs or further military actions could sharply sway outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Hacim
$320,613Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US national average regular gasoline price stands at $4.06 per gallon as of April 18, per AAA data, down slightly from $4.14 a week ago amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks following March escalations that spiked crude oil above $100 per barrel and retail prices 30% year-over-year. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a "Yes" for hitting $4.15 or higher by April 30 (86% implied probability on leading outcome), reflecting recent volatility from Iranian IRGC gunboat attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and risks of renewed supply disruptions despite increased tanker traffic. Key factors include seasonal summer driving demand ramp-up, refinery output post-maintenance, and upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on April 22 detailing inventories; diplomatic breakthroughs or further military actions could sharply sway outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Hacim
$320,613Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US national average regular gasoline price stands at $4.06 per gallon as of April 18, per AAA data, down slightly from $4.14 a week ago amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire talks following March escalations that spiked crude oil above $100 per barrel and retail prices 30% year-over-year. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a "Yes" for hitting $4.15 or higher by April 30 (86% implied probability on leading outcome), reflecting recent volatility from Iranian IRGC gunboat attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and risks of renewed supply disruptions despite increased tanker traffic. Key factors include seasonal summer driving demand ramp-up, refinery output post-maintenance, and upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on April 22 detailing inventories; diplomatic breakthroughs or further military actions could sharply sway outcomes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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