Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, faces persistent unverified intelligence reports of severe injuries—including possible unconsciousness or disfigurement—sustained in early-year strikes, with no public appearances and only indirect statements issued since. This has heightened trader concerns over a potential leadership vacuum amid ongoing military conflict, economic strain, and power shifts toward the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as fractured regime coordination struggles during ceasefire talks. No official announcements confirm incapacity, but upcoming diplomatic negotiations or further escalations could trigger Assembly intervention or succession moves.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$9,333,879 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
30 Nisan
5%
31 Mayıs
12%
30 Haziran
19%
31 Aralık
33%
$9,333,879 Hac.
30 Nisan
$3,269,316 Hac.
5%
31 Mayıs
$545,324 Hac.
12%
30 Haziran
$484,432 Hac.
19%
31 Aralık
$1,803,885 Hac.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, faces persistent unverified intelligence reports of severe injuries—including possible unconsciousness or disfigurement—sustained in early-year strikes, with no public appearances and only indirect statements issued since. This has heightened trader concerns over a potential leadership vacuum amid ongoing military conflict, economic strain, and power shifts toward the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as fractured regime coordination struggles during ceasefire talks. No official announcements confirm incapacity, but upcoming diplomatic negotiations or further escalations could trigger Assembly intervention or succession moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Hacim
$9,333,879Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, faces persistent unverified intelligence reports of severe injuries—including possible unconsciousness or disfigurement—sustained in early-year strikes, with no public appearances and only indirect statements issued since. This has heightened trader concerns over a potential leadership vacuum amid ongoing military conflict, economic strain, and power shifts toward the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as fractured regime coordination struggles during ceasefire talks. No official announcements confirm incapacity, but upcoming diplomatic negotiations or further escalations could trigger Assembly intervention or succession moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$9,333,879Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli airstrikes, faces persistent unverified intelligence reports of severe injuries—including possible unconsciousness or disfigurement—sustained in early-year strikes, with no public appearances and only indirect statements issued since. This has heightened trader concerns over a potential leadership vacuum amid ongoing military conflict, economic strain, and power shifts toward the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as fractured regime coordination struggles during ceasefire talks. No official announcements confirm incapacity, but upcoming diplomatic negotiations or further escalations could trigger Assembly intervention or succession moves.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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