Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$290,672 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Donald Trump
13%
J.D. Vance
71%
Marco Rubio
13%
Jared Kushner
78%
Steve Witkoff
79%
$290,672 Hac.
Donald Trump
$233,102 Hac.
13%
J.D. Vance
$23,740 Hac.
71%
Marco Rubio
$14,232 Hac.
13%
Jared Kushner
$10,650 Hac.
78%
Steve Witkoff
$9,733 Hac.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Hacim
$290,672Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$290,672Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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