Trader consensus favors "No" at 60.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirming a historic 0.2% annual decline in 2025—the first since World War II—due to sharp reductions in non-permanent residents amid tightened immigration caps on study permits and temporary workers. However, the Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which stabilizes new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while maintaining permanent resident targets near 395,000. This policy reset, responding to housing pressures, suggests stabilization rather than further record declines, with upcoming quarterly estimates from Statistics Canada likely to influence sentiment.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2027
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors "No" at 60.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirming a historic 0.2% annual decline in 2025—the first since World War II—due to sharp reductions in non-permanent residents amid tightened immigration caps on study permits and temporary workers. However, the Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which stabilizes new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while maintaining permanent resident targets near 395,000. This policy reset, responding to housing pressures, suggests stabilization rather than further record declines, with upcoming quarterly estimates from Statistics Canada likely to influence sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Hacim
$1,509Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors "No" at 60.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirming a historic 0.2% annual decline in 2025—the first since World War II—due to sharp reductions in non-permanent residents amid tightened immigration caps on study permits and temporary workers. However, the Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which stabilizes new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while maintaining permanent resident targets near 395,000. This policy reset, responding to housing pressures, suggests stabilization rather than further record declines, with upcoming quarterly estimates from Statistics Canada likely to influence sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,509Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 60.5% for Canada's 2026 population drop being the largest on record, driven by Statistics Canada's March 18 release confirming a historic 0.2% annual decline in 2025—the first since World War II—due to sharp reductions in non-permanent residents amid tightened immigration caps on study permits and temporary workers. However, the Parliamentary Budget Officer's February analysis projects flat population growth for 2026 under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which stabilizes new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while maintaining permanent resident targets near 395,000. This policy reset, responding to housing pressures, suggests stabilization rather than further record declines, with upcoming quarterly estimates from Statistics Canada likely to influence sentiment.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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