Alberta separatists announced on March 31, 2026, that they collected the required 177,732 signatures for a citizen initiative demanding a referendum on provincial independence, driving trader consensus to a 67.5% implied probability of any province scheduling such a vote before 2027. Recent legislative changes under Bill 14 formalized easier paths for citizen referendums, including on separation, with Elections Alberta approving the question in December 2025 despite ongoing court challenges from First Nations groups deeming it unconstitutional. Polls from early April show separatism support at a five-year high, though majority opposition persists; signature verification and potential provincial ballot inclusion in 2026 remain key catalysts amid U.S. political interest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$350,652 Hac.
$350,652 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$350,652 Hac.
$350,652 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists announced on March 31, 2026, that they collected the required 177,732 signatures for a citizen initiative demanding a referendum on provincial independence, driving trader consensus to a 67.5% implied probability of any province scheduling such a vote before 2027. Recent legislative changes under Bill 14 formalized easier paths for citizen referendums, including on separation, with Elections Alberta approving the question in December 2025 despite ongoing court challenges from First Nations groups deeming it unconstitutional. Polls from early April show separatism support at a five-year high, though majority opposition persists; signature verification and potential provincial ballot inclusion in 2026 remain key catalysts amid U.S. political interest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ET
Hacim
$350,652Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Alberta separatists announced on March 31, 2026, that they collected the required 177,732 signatures for a citizen initiative demanding a referendum on provincial independence, driving trader consensus to a 67.5% implied probability of any province scheduling such a vote before 2027. Recent legislative changes under Bill 14 formalized easier paths for citizen referendums, including on separation, with Elections Alberta approving the question in December 2025 despite ongoing court challenges from First Nations groups deeming it unconstitutional. Polls from early April show separatism support at a five-year high, though majority opposition persists; signature verification and potential provincial ballot inclusion in 2026 remain key catalysts amid U.S. political interest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$350,652Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta separatists announced on March 31, 2026, that they collected the required 177,732 signatures for a citizen initiative demanding a referendum on provincial independence, driving trader consensus to a 67.5% implied probability of any province scheduling such a vote before 2027. Recent legislative changes under Bill 14 formalized easier paths for citizen referendums, including on separation, with Elections Alberta approving the question in December 2025 despite ongoing court challenges from First Nations groups deeming it unconstitutional. Polls from early April show separatism support at a five-year high, though majority opposition persists; signature verification and potential provincial ballot inclusion in 2026 remain key catalysts amid U.S. political interest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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