Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain avoidance of a U.S. debt default by 2027, driven by Congress's July 2025 reconciliation bill raising the debt ceiling $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion—well above current levels near $39 trillion as of April 2026. This follows historical precedent, with lawmakers acting 78 times since 1960 to raise, extend, or revise the limit, often via extraordinary measures from Treasury to avert crisis. No brinkmanship looms in the next 30 days, per recent CBO projections of deficits but no immediate X-date until mid-2027. Realistic shifts could stem from post-midterm gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal shocks preventing timely action on appropriations or debt limit hikes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD 2027 'ye kadar borçlarını ödeyemeyecek mi?
ABD 2027 'ye kadar borçlarını ödeyemeyecek mi?
Evet
$14,748 Hac.
$14,748 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$14,748 Hac.
$14,748 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain avoidance of a U.S. debt default by 2027, driven by Congress's July 2025 reconciliation bill raising the debt ceiling $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion—well above current levels near $39 trillion as of April 2026. This follows historical precedent, with lawmakers acting 78 times since 1960 to raise, extend, or revise the limit, often via extraordinary measures from Treasury to avert crisis. No brinkmanship looms in the next 30 days, per recent CBO projections of deficits but no immediate X-date until mid-2027. Realistic shifts could stem from post-midterm gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal shocks preventing timely action on appropriations or debt limit hikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Hacim
$14,748Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain avoidance of a U.S. debt default by 2027, driven by Congress's July 2025 reconciliation bill raising the debt ceiling $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion—well above current levels near $39 trillion as of April 2026. This follows historical precedent, with lawmakers acting 78 times since 1960 to raise, extend, or revise the limit, often via extraordinary measures from Treasury to avert crisis. No brinkmanship looms in the next 30 days, per recent CBO projections of deficits but no immediate X-date until mid-2027. Realistic shifts could stem from post-midterm gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal shocks preventing timely action on appropriations or debt limit hikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Hacim
$14,748Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain avoidance of a U.S. debt default by 2027, driven by Congress's July 2025 reconciliation bill raising the debt ceiling $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion—well above current levels near $39 trillion as of April 2026. This follows historical precedent, with lawmakers acting 78 times since 1960 to raise, extend, or revise the limit, often via extraordinary measures from Treasury to avert crisis. No brinkmanship looms in the next 30 days, per recent CBO projections of deficits but no immediate X-date until mid-2027. Realistic shifts could stem from post-midterm gridlock, prolonged government shutdowns, or fiscal shocks preventing timely action on appropriations or debt limit hikes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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