Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez maintains parliamentary support through alliances with regional parties, resisting opposition demands for a snap general election despite recent PSOE losses in February 2026 regional votes in Extremadura and Aragón, where PP-Vox coalitions advanced. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for an election scheduled by June 30, 2026, driven by Sánchez's repeated affirmations of a full term to 2027 and Spain's robust economic growth. Key risks include potential no-confidence motions from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo, possibly pacting with Junts or PNV, and upcoming regional elections in Castilla y León and Andalucía that could intensify pressure on the coalition.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİspanya erken seçim çağrısı...?
İspanya erken seçim çağrısı...?
$138,979 Hac.
31 Ara 2025
30 Haziran 2026
7%
$138,979 Hac.
30 Haziran 2026
$45,481 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez maintains parliamentary support through alliances with regional parties, resisting opposition demands for a snap general election despite recent PSOE losses in February 2026 regional votes in Extremadura and Aragón, where PP-Vox coalitions advanced. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for an election scheduled by June 30, 2026, driven by Sánchez's repeated affirmations of a full term to 2027 and Spain's robust economic growth. Key risks include potential no-confidence motions from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo, possibly pacting with Junts or PNV, and upcoming regional elections in Castilla y León and Andalucía that could intensify pressure on the coalition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Hacim
$138,979Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez maintains parliamentary support through alliances with regional parties, resisting opposition demands for a snap general election despite recent PSOE losses in February 2026 regional votes in Extremadura and Aragón, where PP-Vox coalitions advanced. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for an election scheduled by June 30, 2026, driven by Sánchez's repeated affirmations of a full term to 2027 and Spain's robust economic growth. Key risks include potential no-confidence motions from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo, possibly pacting with Junts or PNV, and upcoming regional elections in Castilla y León and Andalucía that could intensify pressure on the coalition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$138,979Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2025Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's minority Socialist government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez maintains parliamentary support through alliances with regional parties, resisting opposition demands for a snap general election despite recent PSOE losses in February 2026 regional votes in Extremadura and Aragón, where PP-Vox coalitions advanced. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for an election scheduled by June 30, 2026, driven by Sánchez's repeated affirmations of a full term to 2027 and Spain's robust economic growth. Key risks include potential no-confidence motions from PP leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo, possibly pacting with Junts or PNV, and upcoming regional elections in Castilla y León and Andalucía that could intensify pressure on the coalition.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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