Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) exceeding $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 57% odds for above $24,000, reflecting optimism fueled by mega-cap tech earnings growth and AI capital expenditure trends. The index recently hit record highs, up 6.8% last week amid easing Middle East tensions boosting risk appetite, with year-to-date gains of 5.63% as of April 17 and current levels near 25,000. Sustained low unemployment and cooling inflation support Fed funds rate cut expectations, though rising Treasury yields pose risks. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Q2 earnings from leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNasdaq 100 (NDX), 2026 'nın sonundan ___ yukarıda mı?
Nasdaq 100 (NDX), 2026 'nın sonundan ___ yukarıda mı?
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
>$38,000
25%
>$33,000
8%
>$30,000
17%
>$27,000
31%
>$24,000
49%
>$19,000
87%
$7,811 Hac.
>$38,000
$1,459 Hac.
25%
>$33,000
$1,650 Hac.
8%
>$30,000
$770 Hac.
17%
>$27,000
$1,300 Hac.
31%
>$24,000
$1,240 Hac.
49%
>$19,000
$1,392 Hac.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) exceeding $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 57% odds for above $24,000, reflecting optimism fueled by mega-cap tech earnings growth and AI capital expenditure trends. The index recently hit record highs, up 6.8% last week amid easing Middle East tensions boosting risk appetite, with year-to-date gains of 5.63% as of April 17 and current levels near 25,000. Sustained low unemployment and cooling inflation support Fed funds rate cut expectations, though rising Treasury yields pose risks. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Q2 earnings from leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
Hacim
$7,811Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) exceeding $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 57% odds for above $24,000, reflecting optimism fueled by mega-cap tech earnings growth and AI capital expenditure trends. The index recently hit record highs, up 6.8% last week amid easing Middle East tensions boosting risk appetite, with year-to-date gains of 5.63% as of April 17 and current levels near 25,000. Sustained low unemployment and cooling inflation support Fed funds rate cut expectations, though rising Treasury yields pose risks. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Q2 earnings from leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Hacim
$7,811Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) exceeding $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 57% odds for above $24,000, reflecting optimism fueled by mega-cap tech earnings growth and AI capital expenditure trends. The index recently hit record highs, up 6.8% last week amid easing Middle East tensions boosting risk appetite, with year-to-date gains of 5.63% as of April 17 and current levels near 25,000. Sustained low unemployment and cooling inflation support Fed funds rate cut expectations, though rising Treasury yields pose risks. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Q2 earnings from leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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