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Teknoloji·AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Market icon
Teknoloji·AI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

Ended: Oca 31

Ended: Oca 31

No release by January 31 100.0%

December 29 <1%

December 30 <1%

December 31 <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Hac.

No release by January 31 100.0%

December 29 <1%

December 30 <1%

December 31 <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Hac.

December 29

$320 Hac.

No

December 30

$7,929 Hac.

No

December 31

$3,899 Hac.

No

January 1

$8,456 Hac.

No

January 2

$3,884 Hac.

No

January 3

$9,975 Hac.

No

January 4

$14,876 Hac.

No

January 5

$16,336 Hac.

No

January 6

$5,381 Hac.

No

January 7

$15,979 Hac.

No

January 8

$14,798 Hac.

No

January 9

$5,332 Hac.

No

January 10

$17,240 Hac.

No

January 11

$12,313 Hac.

No

January 12

$12,256 Hac.

No

January 13

$5,212 Hac.

No

January 14

$2,675 Hac.

No

January 15

$9,576 Hac.

No

January 16

$13,610 Hac.

No

January 17

$17,451 Hac.

No

January 18

$19,157 Hac.

No

January 19

$22,871 Hac.

No

January 20

$33,013 Hac.

No

January 21

$43,597 Hac.

No

January 22

$30,696 Hac.

No

January 23

$40,103 Hac.

No

January 24

$26,185 Hac.

No

January 25

$21,300 Hac.

No

January 26

$44,405 Hac.

No

January 27

$46,720 Hac.

No

January 28

$42,973 Hac.

No

January 29

$34,048 Hac.

No

January 30

$45,980 Hac.

No

January 31

$31,549 Hac.

No

No release by January 31

$106,124 Hac.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$786,219
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$786,219
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Oca 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Grok 4.20 released on...?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 35 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "No release by January 31", ardından 0% ile "December 29" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Grok 4.20 released on...?" toplam $786.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 29, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Grok 4.20 released on...?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 35 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Grok 4.20 released on...?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "No release by January 31"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 0% ile "December 29"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Grok 4.20 released on...?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.