**Anthropic's Claude Opus update released April 16 has cemented its dominance in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where it achieves the top score of 80.9%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and others amid trader consensus implying 94.5% odds of retaining the lead by April's end.** This follows the April 7 Claude Mythos preview, which shattered records at 93.9% on SWE-bench—though limited to select partners—highlighting superior agentic coding capabilities for complex, multi-file tasks via tools like Claude Code. No rival releases have closed the gap in the past week, with OpenAI's Codex trailing significantly. Realistic challenges include a surprise OpenAI or Google model launch with verified benchmark gains before resolution, though historical timelines suggest low likelihood given development cycles.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
DeepSeek <1%
Alibaba <1%
$122,914 Hac.
$122,914 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
95%
OpenAI
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 95%
OpenAI 4.3%
DeepSeek <1%
Alibaba <1%
$122,914 Hac.
$122,914 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Anthropic
$16,568 Hac.
95%
OpenAI
$11,988 Hac.
4%
DeepSeek
$13,693 Hac.
1%
Alibaba
$7,929 Hac.
<1%
Z.ai
$11,581 Hac.
<1%
xAI
$7,235 Hac.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,664 Hac.
<1%
Baidu
$7,981 Hac.
<1%
Moonshot
$8,447 Hac.
<1%
Mistral
$6,905 Hac.
<1%
Meituan
$6,846 Hac.
<1%
$8,228 Hac.
<1%
Amazon
$7,848 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.**Anthropic's Claude Opus update released April 16 has cemented its dominance in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where it achieves the top score of 80.9%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and others amid trader consensus implying 94.5% odds of retaining the lead by April's end.** This follows the April 7 Claude Mythos preview, which shattered records at 93.9% on SWE-bench—though limited to select partners—highlighting superior agentic coding capabilities for complex, multi-file tasks via tools like Claude Code. No rival releases have closed the gap in the past week, with OpenAI's Codex trailing significantly. Realistic challenges include a surprise OpenAI or Google model launch with verified benchmark gains before resolution, though historical timelines suggest low likelihood given development cycles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Hacim
$122,914Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.**Anthropic's Claude Opus update released April 16 has cemented its dominance in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where it achieves the top score of 80.9%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and others amid trader consensus implying 94.5% odds of retaining the lead by April's end.** This follows the April 7 Claude Mythos preview, which shattered records at 93.9% on SWE-bench—though limited to select partners—highlighting superior agentic coding capabilities for complex, multi-file tasks via tools like Claude Code. No rival releases have closed the gap in the past week, with OpenAI's Codex trailing significantly. Realistic challenges include a surprise OpenAI or Google model launch with verified benchmark gains before resolution, though historical timelines suggest low likelihood given development cycles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Hacim
$122,914Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic's Claude Opus update released April 16 has cemented its dominance in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where it achieves the top score of 80.9%, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and others amid trader consensus implying 94.5% odds of retaining the lead by April's end.** This follows the April 7 Claude Mythos preview, which shattered records at 93.9% on SWE-bench—though limited to select partners—highlighting superior agentic coding capabilities for complex, multi-file tasks via tools like Claude Code. No rival releases have closed the gap in the past week, with OpenAI's Codex trailing significantly. Realistic challenges include a surprise OpenAI or Google model launch with verified benchmark gains before resolution, though historical timelines suggest low likelihood given development cycles.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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