Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks confirming the model's codename "Spud," pre-training completion on March 24 at the Stargate facility, and Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from late March. Recent delays from rumored April 14–16 windows—amid internal testing showing incremental gains over GPT-5.4 in reasoning and agentic tasks—shifted sentiment, with Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch today intensifying expectations for a competitive counter-release. No official announcement has materialized, underscoring typical AI lab caution on timelines, but traders see low risk of missing April 30 (90%+ implied for some release), barring further safety or integration hurdles. Watch for DesignArena benchmarks or employee teases as near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiGPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
GPT-5.5 piyasaya sürülme tarihi...?
23 Nisan 67%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 9.7%
30 Nisan 6.9%
26 Nisan 4.9%
$94,828 Hac.
$94,828 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
16 Nisan
1%
17 Nisan
2%
18 Nisan
<1%
19 Nisan
1%
20 Nisan
3%
21 Nisan
<1%
22 Nisan
4%
23 Nisan
67%
24 Nisan
<1%
25 Nisan
<1%
26 Nisan
5%
27 Nisan
<1%
28 Nisan
1%
29 Nisan
<1%
30 Nisan
7%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
10%
23 Nisan 67%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek 9.7%
30 Nisan 6.9%
26 Nisan 4.9%
$94,828 Hac.
$94,828 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
16 Nisan
$44,994 Hac.
1%
17 Nisan
$2,051 Hac.
2%
18 Nisan
$1,782 Hac.
<1%
19 Nisan
$1,917 Hac.
1%
20 Nisan
$1,322 Hac.
3%
21 Nisan
$1,742 Hac.
<1%
22 Nisan
$1,985 Hac.
4%
23 Nisan
$18,942 Hac.
67%
24 Nisan
$323 Hac.
<1%
25 Nisan
$185 Hac.
<1%
26 Nisan
$1,400 Hac.
5%
27 Nisan
$1,041 Hac.
<1%
28 Nisan
$1,408 Hac.
1%
29 Nisan
$1,455 Hac.
<1%
30 Nisan
$2,750 Hac.
7%
30 Nisan'a kadar piyasaya sürülmeyecek
$4,347 Hac.
10%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks confirming the model's codename "Spud," pre-training completion on March 24 at the Stargate facility, and Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from late March. Recent delays from rumored April 14–16 windows—amid internal testing showing incremental gains over GPT-5.4 in reasoning and agentic tasks—shifted sentiment, with Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch today intensifying expectations for a competitive counter-release. No official announcement has materialized, underscoring typical AI lab caution on timelines, but traders see low risk of missing April 30 (90%+ implied for some release), barring further safety or integration hurdles. Watch for DesignArena benchmarks or employee teases as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Hacim
$94,828Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks confirming the model's codename "Spud," pre-training completion on March 24 at the Stargate facility, and Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from late March. Recent delays from rumored April 14–16 windows—amid internal testing showing incremental gains over GPT-5.4 in reasoning and agentic tasks—shifted sentiment, with Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch today intensifying expectations for a competitive counter-release. No official announcement has materialized, underscoring typical AI lab caution on timelines, but traders see low risk of missing April 30 (90%+ implied for some release), barring further safety or integration hurdles. Watch for DesignArena benchmarks or employee teases as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$94,828Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks confirming the model's codename "Spud," pre-training completion on March 24 at the Stargate facility, and Sam Altman's "a few weeks" timeline from late March. Recent delays from rumored April 14–16 windows—amid internal testing showing incremental gains over GPT-5.4 in reasoning and agentic tasks—shifted sentiment, with Anthropic's Opus 4.7 launch today intensifying expectations for a competitive counter-release. No official announcement has materialized, underscoring typical AI lab caution on timelines, but traders see low risk of missing April 30 (90%+ implied for some release), barring further safety or integration hurdles. Watch for DesignArena benchmarks or employee teases as near-term catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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