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Politika·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Grace Meng 91%

Charles Park 19.3%

Yan Xiong <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Grace Meng 91%

Charles Park 19.3%

Yan Xiong <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Grace Meng

$707 Vol.

91%

Charles Park

$520 Vol.

19%

Yan Xiong

$736 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,963
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Grace Meng dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the NY-06 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her long tenure since 2013, recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and the Unite Here hospitality union, and a scandal-free record in the Asian American-heavy Queens district. Challenger Charles Park, a former Obama-era diplomat mounting a progressive bid with backing from Sunrise NYC and local clubs, holds 23% amid limited grassroots visibility but faces headwinds from a May 14 report revealing his failure to file 2025 personal financial disclosures—due for 2026 by May 16—and internal party tensions favoring Meng. Army veteran Yan Xiong trails at 0.1% with minimal campaign traction. No recent polls available; upcoming early voting could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,963
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Grace Meng" sa 91%, sinusundan ng "Yan Xiong" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 91¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Dec 19, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Grace Meng" sa 91%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Yan Xiong" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.