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Politika·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

icon for Zambia Presidential Election Winner
Politika·Main Election

Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Hakainde Hichilema 98.1%

Brian Mundubile 1.6%

Fred M'membe <1%

Polymarket

$223,552 Vol.

Hakainde Hichilema 98.1%

Brian Mundubile 1.6%

Fred M'membe <1%

Polymarket

$223,552 Vol.

icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$110,994 Vol.

98%

icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$92,060 Vol.

2%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$20,498 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent United Party for National Development leader seeking a second term after his 2021 victory, holds overwhelming market support ahead of official certification for Zambia's August 13 presidential election. Partial tallies from the Electoral Commission of Zambia show him leading main challenger Brian Mundubile of the Tonse Alliance by double-digit margins in early counts, bolstered by his record on economic reforms, infrastructure projects, and international re-engagement. Vote counting faced temporary suspension amid reports of violence and attacks on officials, while opposition claims of victory introduced uncertainty; however, traders appear to price in Hichilema's structural advantages and historical polling leads as decisive for final resolution. Late swings remain possible if disputes escalate into legal challenges or recounts.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$223,552
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent United Party for National Development leader seeking a second term after his 2021 victory, holds overwhelming market support ahead of official certification for Zambia's August 13 presidential election. Partial tallies from the Electoral Commission of Zambia show him leading main challenger Brian Mundubile of the Tonse Alliance by double-digit margins in early counts, bolstered by his record on economic reforms, infrastructure projects, and international re-engagement. Vote counting faced temporary suspension amid reports of violence and attacks on officials, while opposition claims of victory introduced uncertainty; however, traders appear to price in Hichilema's structural advantages and historical polling leads as decisive for final resolution. Late swings remain possible if disputes escalate into legal challenges or recounts.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$223,552
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

96%
icon for Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?

Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?

96%
icon for Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?

Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?

97%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hakainde Hichilema" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "Brian Mundubile" sa 2%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $223.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Zambia Presidential Election Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" ay "Hakainde Hichilema" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Brian Mundubile" sa 2%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Zambia Presidential Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.