High registration of roughly 8.8 million voters, including a large youth cohort, combined with a competitive contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and opposition challenger Brian Mundubile, has anchored trader expectations for first-round turnout in the 50-70% range. Economic pressures such as cost-of-living concerns and service delivery have spurred mobilization by both the ruling United Party for National Development and opposition coalitions, while surveys showing strong voting intent among supporters and undecided respondents support participation near or above the 2021 historical average of about 70%. Recent polling-station reports of early queues alongside localized logistical delays introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 60-70% and 50-60% outcomes closely matched in the wisdom of crowds reflected by current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateZambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
60-70% 58%
50-60% 46%
70-80% 5.1%
<50% 3.0%
$39,205 Vol.
$39,205 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
15%
50-60%
46%
60-70%
54%
70-80%
5%
80%+
<1%
60-70% 58%
50-60% 46%
70-80% 5.1%
<50% 3.0%
$39,205 Vol.
$39,205 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<50%
$6,747 Vol.
15%
50-60%
$8,476 Vol.
46%
60-70%
$12,740 Vol.
54%
70-80%
$6,057 Vol.
5%
80%+
$5,185 Vol.
<1%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).High registration of roughly 8.8 million voters, including a large youth cohort, combined with a competitive contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and opposition challenger Brian Mundubile, has anchored trader expectations for first-round turnout in the 50-70% range. Economic pressures such as cost-of-living concerns and service delivery have spurred mobilization by both the ruling United Party for National Development and opposition coalitions, while surveys showing strong voting intent among supporters and undecided respondents support participation near or above the 2021 historical average of about 70%. Recent polling-station reports of early queues alongside localized logistical delays introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 60-70% and 50-60% outcomes closely matched in the wisdom of crowds reflected by current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$39,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).High registration of roughly 8.8 million voters, including a large youth cohort, combined with a competitive contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and opposition challenger Brian Mundubile, has anchored trader expectations for first-round turnout in the 50-70% range. Economic pressures such as cost-of-living concerns and service delivery have spurred mobilization by both the ruling United Party for National Development and opposition coalitions, while surveys showing strong voting intent among supporters and undecided respondents support participation near or above the 2021 historical average of about 70%. Recent polling-station reports of early queues alongside localized logistical delays introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 60-70% and 50-60% outcomes closely matched in the wisdom of crowds reflected by current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$39,205Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High registration of roughly 8.8 million voters, including a large youth cohort, combined with a competitive contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and opposition challenger Brian Mundubile, has anchored trader expectations for first-round turnout in the 50-70% range. Economic pressures such as cost-of-living concerns and service delivery have spurred mobilization by both the ruling United Party for National Development and opposition coalitions, while surveys showing strong voting intent among supporters and undecided respondents support participation near or above the 2021 historical average of about 70%. Recent polling-station reports of early queues alongside localized logistical delays introduce modest uncertainty, keeping the 60-70% and 50-60% outcomes closely matched in the wisdom of crowds reflected by current pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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