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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politika·Halalan Sa Pransiya

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politika·Halalan Sa Pransiya

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$81,217 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$81,217 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$8,583 Vol.

83%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,679 Vol.

59%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$4,085 Vol.

33%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,519 Vol.

11%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,528 Vol.

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$17,452 Vol.

8%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$638 Vol.

6%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,043 Vol.

5%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$251 Vol.

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Vol.

5%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$643 Vol.

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,227 Vol.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$96 Vol.

4%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,826 Vol.

3%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Vol.

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,349 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$23 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,043 Vol.

3%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Vol.

2%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,774 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,609 Vol.

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,768 Vol.

2%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,147 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$1,005 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,111 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,962 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,559 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,230 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,286 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,807 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,613 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leading first-round voting intentions at 35-37%, well ahead of other declared or potential contenders including Édouard Philippe, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Gabriel Attal. The far-right party's strong positioning reflects sustained voter support for its platform on immigration and EU issues, even after an appeal court upheld Le Pen's prior conviction. Fragmentation among centrist and left-wing candidates has kept the race for the second qualifying spot competitive, with Philippe and Mélenchon often polling in the mid-teens. The two-round system and Macron's ineligibility due to term limits further shape dynamics ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$81,217
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Marine Le Pen of the National Rally leading first-round voting intentions at 35-37%, well ahead of other declared or potential contenders including Édouard Philippe, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Gabriel Attal. The far-right party's strong positioning reflects sustained voter support for its platform on immigration and EU issues, even after an appeal court upheld Le Pen's prior conviction. Fragmentation among centrist and left-wing candidates has kept the race for the second qualifying spot competitive, with Philippe and Mélenchon often polling in the mid-teens. The two-round system and Macron's ineligibility due to term limits further shape dynamics ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$81,217
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Kaugnay

icon for Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

30%
Oo
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

95%
icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

76%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 36 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Marine Le Pen" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "Édouard Philippe" sa 59%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay naka-generate ng $81.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," i-browse ang 36 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay "Marine Le Pen" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Édouard Philippe" sa 59%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.