OpenAI completed pretraining for its next large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely expected as GPT-5.5, around March 24, 2026, with CEO Sam Altman describing it as a "very strong" frontier model emphasizing omnimodal capabilities and agentic reasoning. However, a recent leadership shakeup has introduced timeline uncertainty, tempering trader optimism despite prior rumors of an April rollout that failed to materialize amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and Claude Mythos releases. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, with resolution hinging on public availability via ChatGPT or API; historical patterns suggest post-pretraining fine-tuning and safety evaluations could extend to June, aligning with high market-implied probabilities for a mid-2026 launch.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGPT-5.5 inilabas sa pamamagitan ng...?
GPT-5.5 inilabas sa pamamagitan ng...?
$790,581 Vol.
Abril 19
<1%
Abril 21
3%
Abril 22
1%
Abril 23
83%
Abril 30
90%
Hunyo 30
97%
$790,581 Vol.
Abril 19
<1%
Abril 21
3%
Abril 22
1%
Abril 23
83%
Abril 30
90%
Hunyo 30
97%
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI completed pretraining for its next large language model, codenamed "Spud" and widely expected as GPT-5.5, around March 24, 2026, with CEO Sam Altman describing it as a "very strong" frontier model emphasizing omnimodal capabilities and agentic reasoning. However, a recent leadership shakeup has introduced timeline uncertainty, tempering trader optimism despite prior rumors of an April rollout that failed to materialize amid fierce competition from Anthropic's Opus 4.7 and Claude Mythos releases. Traders eye potential announcements in coming weeks, with resolution hinging on public availability via ChatGPT or API; historical patterns suggest post-pretraining fine-tuning and safety evaluations could extend to June, aligning with high market-implied probabilities for a mid-2026 launch.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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