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icon for OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?

OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?

icon for OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?

OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?

$1,196,392 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,196,392 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Hunyo 30, 2026

Hunyo 30, 2026

$249,309 Vol.

1%

icon for Disyembre 31, 2026

Disyembre 31, 2026

$451,555 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI trader sentiment for a 2026 IPO reflects growing caution, driven by CFO Sarah Friar's recent push to delay until 2027 amid unmet revenue targets—$25 billion annualized versus earlier $30 billion goals—intense compute spending projected at hundreds of billions, and unreadiness for public market reporting standards. Despite April's record $122 billion funding round valuing the company at $852 billion and crossing $25 billion revenue, internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman favoring a Q4 listing, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic's stronger growth, have lowered implied probabilities to around 27% for year-end per Polymarket consensus. Key risks include an impending trial over OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, with regulatory outcomes and Q3 earnings previews as pivotal catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,196,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI trader sentiment for a 2026 IPO reflects growing caution, driven by CFO Sarah Friar's recent push to delay until 2027 amid unmet revenue targets—$25 billion annualized versus earlier $30 billion goals—intense compute spending projected at hundreds of billions, and unreadiness for public market reporting standards. Despite April's record $122 billion funding round valuing the company at $852 billion and crossing $25 billion revenue, internal tensions with CEO Sam Altman favoring a Q4 listing, alongside competitive pressure from Anthropic's stronger growth, have lowered implied probabilities to around 27% for year-end per Polymarket consensus. Key risks include an impending trial over OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, with regulatory outcomes and Q3 earnings previews as pivotal catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,196,392
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Disyembre 31, 2026" sa 27%, sinusundan ng "Hunyo 30, 2026" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 27¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $1.2 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 30, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay "Disyembre 31, 2026" sa 27%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 27% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Hunyo 30, 2026" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "OpenAI IPO sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.