The European Central Bank’s April 30 decision to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent reflected intensified upside risks to inflation, which reached 3.0 percent in April amid elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions. Staff and professional forecasters have revised 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while Q1 GDP growth registered only 0.1 percent. Policymakers openly debated tightening options, with markets now pricing in potential hikes starting as early as June and analysts reversing earlier cut calls. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that the ECB will deliver no rate reduction in 2026, as persistent price pressures continue to outweigh weak growth.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s April 30 decision to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent reflected intensified upside risks to inflation, which reached 3.0 percent in April amid elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions. Staff and professional forecasters have revised 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while Q1 GDP growth registered only 0.1 percent. Policymakers openly debated tightening options, with markets now pricing in potential hikes starting as early as June and analysts reversing earlier cut calls. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that the ECB will deliver no rate reduction in 2026, as persistent price pressures continue to outweigh weak growth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$27,913Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank’s April 30 decision to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent reflected intensified upside risks to inflation, which reached 3.0 percent in April amid elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions. Staff and professional forecasters have revised 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while Q1 GDP growth registered only 0.1 percent. Policymakers openly debated tightening options, with markets now pricing in potential hikes starting as early as June and analysts reversing earlier cut calls. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that the ECB will deliver no rate reduction in 2026, as persistent price pressures continue to outweigh weak growth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,913Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank’s April 30 decision to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2 percent reflected intensified upside risks to inflation, which reached 3.0 percent in April amid elevated energy prices linked to Middle East tensions. Staff and professional forecasters have revised 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6–2.7 percent, well above the 2 percent target, while Q1 GDP growth registered only 0.1 percent. Policymakers openly debated tightening options, with markets now pricing in potential hikes starting as early as June and analysts reversing earlier cut calls. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that the ECB will deliver no rate reduction in 2026, as persistent price pressures continue to outweigh weak growth.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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