Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated euro-area energy prices and pushed 2026 inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now averaging 2.6% for the year. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% through its April 2026 meeting while adopting a data-dependent stance and signaling readiness to tighten if second-round effects emerge amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. Reuters polls and forward curves reflect economist consensus favoring unchanged or higher rates through year-end, underpinning the 86.5% trader-implied probability against any cut. Softer inflation prints or rapid de-escalation could still alter this path before December.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated euro-area energy prices and pushed 2026 inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now averaging 2.6% for the year. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% through its April 2026 meeting while adopting a data-dependent stance and signaling readiness to tighten if second-round effects emerge amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. Reuters polls and forward curves reflect economist consensus favoring unchanged or higher rates through year-end, underpinning the 86.5% trader-implied probability against any cut. Softer inflation prints or rapid de-escalation could still alter this path before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$28,250Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated euro-area energy prices and pushed 2026 inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now averaging 2.6% for the year. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% through its April 2026 meeting while adopting a data-dependent stance and signaling readiness to tighten if second-round effects emerge amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. Reuters polls and forward curves reflect economist consensus favoring unchanged or higher rates through year-end, underpinning the 86.5% trader-implied probability against any cut. Softer inflation prints or rapid de-escalation could still alter this path before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,250Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated euro-area energy prices and pushed 2026 inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now averaging 2.6% for the year. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% through its April 2026 meeting while adopting a data-dependent stance and signaling readiness to tighten if second-round effects emerge amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. Reuters polls and forward curves reflect economist consensus favoring unchanged or higher rates through year-end, underpinning the 86.5% trader-implied probability against any cut. Softer inflation prints or rapid de-escalation could still alter this path before December.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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