Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NASDAQ at 89.5% implied probability for SpaceX's anticipated IPO listing, propelled by new Nasdaq rules effective May 1, 2026, that accelerate inclusion in major indexes like the Nasdaq-100, unlocking billions in immediate passive fund inflows for mega-IPOs. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April, targeting a June roadshow and late-month debut at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—underpinned by Starship's recent orbital test successes and Starlink's subscriber surge—has intensified exchange competition. NYSE lags at 1.8% amid Tesla's NASDAQ precedent, while "Other" at 7% captures Texas Stock Exchange speculation; watch for official S-1 details and final venue disclosure in coming weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNASDAQ 90%
Other 6.8%
NYSE 2.1%
$95,268 ปริมาณ
$95,268 ปริมาณ
NASDAQ
90%
Other
7%
NYSE
2%
NASDAQ 90%
Other 6.8%
NYSE 2.1%
$95,268 ปริมาณ
$95,268 ปริมาณ
NASDAQ
$18,630 ปริมาณ
90%
Other
$57,928 ปริมาณ
7%
NYSE
$18,710 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NASDAQ at 89.5% implied probability for SpaceX's anticipated IPO listing, propelled by new Nasdaq rules effective May 1, 2026, that accelerate inclusion in major indexes like the Nasdaq-100, unlocking billions in immediate passive fund inflows for mega-IPOs. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April, targeting a June roadshow and late-month debut at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—underpinned by Starship's recent orbital test successes and Starlink's subscriber surge—has intensified exchange competition. NYSE lags at 1.8% amid Tesla's NASDAQ precedent, while "Other" at 7% captures Texas Stock Exchange speculation; watch for official S-1 details and final venue disclosure in coming weeks.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,268ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NASDAQ at 89.5% implied probability for SpaceX's anticipated IPO listing, propelled by new Nasdaq rules effective May 1, 2026, that accelerate inclusion in major indexes like the Nasdaq-100, unlocking billions in immediate passive fund inflows for mega-IPOs. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April, targeting a June roadshow and late-month debut at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—underpinned by Starship's recent orbital test successes and Starlink's subscriber surge—has intensified exchange competition. NYSE lags at 1.8% amid Tesla's NASDAQ precedent, while "Other" at 7% captures Texas Stock Exchange speculation; watch for official S-1 details and final venue disclosure in coming weeks.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,268ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NASDAQ at 89.5% implied probability for SpaceX's anticipated IPO listing, propelled by new Nasdaq rules effective May 1, 2026, that accelerate inclusion in major indexes like the Nasdaq-100, unlocking billions in immediate passive fund inflows for mega-IPOs. SpaceX's confidential SEC filing in early April, targeting a June roadshow and late-month debut at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation—underpinned by Starship's recent orbital test successes and Starlink's subscriber surge—has intensified exchange competition. NYSE lags at 1.8% amid Tesla's NASDAQ precedent, while "Other" at 7% captures Texas Stock Exchange speculation; watch for official S-1 details and final venue disclosure in coming weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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