Google’s May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly released 3.5 Flash “next month” remains the dominant factor setting trader expectations for a June debut of the next flagship Pro model. With the lighter 3.5 Flash already matching or exceeding prior 3.1 Pro benchmarks at lower cost and higher speed, traders see a tight June window as Google polishes agentic reasoning and internal testing before public rollout. The evenly distributed mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, phased availability to Ultra subscribers, and potential last-minute refinements typical of Google’s iterative AI releases. No official day has been confirmed, leaving room for shifts if competitive pressure from OpenAI or internal benchmarks accelerate the schedule.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJune 23 25%
June 24 24%
June 17 24%
June 26 23%
June 26
23%
June 13
3%
June 23
25%
June 24
24%
On or prior to June 2
4%
June 8
4%
June 10
25%
June 20
3%
June 3
3%
June 4
5%
June 5
5%
June 6
2%
June 15
-
June 21
4%
June 25
22%
June 7
3%
June 9
9%
June 11
1%
June 12
23%
June 14
2%
June 16
24%
June 17
24%
June 18
22%
June 19
3%
June 30
23%
June 22
1%
June 27
4%
June 28
1%
June 29
7%
No release by June 30
3%
June 23 25%
June 24 24%
June 17 24%
June 26 23%
June 26
23%
June 13
3%
June 23
25%
June 24
24%
On or prior to June 2
4%
June 8
4%
June 10
25%
June 20
3%
June 3
3%
June 4
5%
June 5
5%
June 6
2%
June 15
-
June 21
4%
June 25
22%
June 7
3%
June 9
9%
June 11
1%
June 12
23%
June 14
2%
June 16
24%
June 17
24%
June 18
22%
June 19
3%
June 30
23%
June 22
1%
June 27
4%
June 28
1%
June 29
7%
No release by June 30
3%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly released 3.5 Flash “next month” remains the dominant factor setting trader expectations for a June debut of the next flagship Pro model. With the lighter 3.5 Flash already matching or exceeding prior 3.1 Pro benchmarks at lower cost and higher speed, traders see a tight June window as Google polishes agentic reasoning and internal testing before public rollout. The evenly distributed mid-month probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact timing, phased availability to Ultra subscribers, and potential last-minute refinements typical of Google’s iterative AI releases. No official day has been confirmed, leaving room for shifts if competitive pressure from OpenAI or internal benchmarks accelerate the schedule.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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