OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 iteration pace and unconfirmed GPT-5.6 references spotted in Codex backend logs and canary testing have positioned the June 15–21 window as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability. Following the April 2026 GPT-5.5 launch, these early internal signals suggest accelerated development amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs, though OpenAI has issued no official statements or system cards. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of frequent minor-version updates against typical pre-release testing timelines, with the 19.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflecting uncertainty over final safety reviews or last-minute shifts. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-day announcements or API rollout notices that could resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJune 15–June 21 53%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 14%
June 22–June 28 6.3%
$59,926 ปริมาณ
$59,926 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
3%
June 8–June 14
14%
June 15–June 21
53%
June 22–June 28
11%
Not released by June 28
20%
June 15–June 21 53%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 14%
June 22–June 28 6.3%
$59,926 ปริมาณ
$59,926 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
$11,157 ปริมาณ
3%
June 8–June 14
$10,554 ปริมาณ
14%
June 15–June 21
$2,606 ปริมาณ
53%
June 22–June 28
$1,984 ปริมาณ
11%
Not released by June 28
$6,486 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 iteration pace and unconfirmed GPT-5.6 references spotted in Codex backend logs and canary testing have positioned the June 15–21 window as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability. Following the April 2026 GPT-5.5 launch, these early internal signals suggest accelerated development amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs, though OpenAI has issued no official statements or system cards. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of frequent minor-version updates against typical pre-release testing timelines, with the 19.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflecting uncertainty over final safety reviews or last-minute shifts. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-day announcements or API rollout notices that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,926วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 iteration pace and unconfirmed GPT-5.6 references spotted in Codex backend logs and canary testing have positioned the June 15–21 window as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability. Following the April 2026 GPT-5.5 launch, these early internal signals suggest accelerated development amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs, though OpenAI has issued no official statements or system cards. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of frequent minor-version updates against typical pre-release testing timelines, with the 19.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflecting uncertainty over final safety reviews or last-minute shifts. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-day announcements or API rollout notices that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,926วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 iteration pace and unconfirmed GPT-5.6 references spotted in Codex backend logs and canary testing have positioned the June 15–21 window as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability. Following the April 2026 GPT-5.5 launch, these early internal signals suggest accelerated development amid competitive pressure from other frontier labs, though OpenAI has issued no official statements or system cards. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of frequent minor-version updates against typical pre-release testing timelines, with the 19.5% chance of no release by June 28 reflecting uncertainty over final safety reviews or last-minute shifts. Key near-term catalysts include any developer-day announcements or API rollout notices that could resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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