Vermont’s at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+17 and no Republican victor since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 62.3 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Mark Coester and minor-party candidates have yet to demonstrate statewide viability in a district where Democrats hold consistent majorities. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive shift. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome within the current resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVT-AL House Election Winner
VT-AL House Election Winner
$11,261 ปริมาณ
$11,261 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$11,261 ปริมาณ
$11,261 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,357 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$4,904 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+17 and no Republican victor since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 62.3 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Mark Coester and minor-party candidates have yet to demonstrate statewide viability in a district where Democrats hold consistent majorities. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive shift. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,261วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+17 and no Republican victor since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 62.3 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Mark Coester and minor-party candidates have yet to demonstrate statewide viability in a district where Democrats hold consistent majorities. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive shift. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,261วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with a partisan voting index of roughly D+17 and no Republican victor since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 62.3 percent in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Mark Coester and minor-party candidates have yet to demonstrate statewide viability in a district where Democrats hold consistent majorities. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive shift. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to alter the outcome within the current resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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