Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas 12th District primary, solidifying his position in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe R by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district delivered Donald Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, underscoring its entrenched conservative lean amid Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced from her primary with 60% but faces steep odds against Goldman's fundraising edge—over $1.3 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic resources as of late March. With no recent polling or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 84%, reflecting historical base rates for safe districts and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,499 ปริมาณ
82%
Democratic Party
$2,233 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas 12th District primary, solidifying his position in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe R by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district delivered Donald Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, underscoring its entrenched conservative lean amid Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced from her primary with 60% but faces steep odds against Goldman's fundraising edge—over $1.3 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic resources as of late March. With no recent polling or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 84%, reflecting historical base rates for safe districts and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,733วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas 12th District primary, solidifying his position in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe R by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district delivered Donald Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, underscoring its entrenched conservative lean amid Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced from her primary with 60% but faces steep odds against Goldman's fundraising edge—over $1.3 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic resources as of late March. With no recent polling or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 84%, reflecting historical base rates for safe districts and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,733วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas 12th District primary, solidifying his position in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe R by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district delivered Donald Trump a 24-point margin in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, underscoring its entrenched conservative lean amid Tarrant and Parker counties. Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman advanced from her primary with 60% but faces steep odds against Goldman's fundraising edge—over $1.3 million cash on hand versus minimal Democratic resources as of late March. With no recent polling or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 30 days, trader consensus prices a Republican hold at 84%, reflecting historical base rates for safe districts and incumbency advantages ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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