The open seat in South Carolina's 5th congressional district, created by Republican incumbent Ralph Norman's gubernatorial bid, has reinforced Republican advantages in this R+11 territory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, unanimous forecaster ratings as Solid Republican, and the structural barriers facing Democratic contenders. With primaries scheduled for June 9, state Senator Wes Climer leads the Republican field while multiple Democratic candidates compete in a crowded primary, but no recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math or introduced competitive shifts. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar districts where incumbency transitions have not disrupted majority-party holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-05 House Election Winner
SC-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$0 ปริมาณ
90%
Democratic Party
$1,753 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina's 5th congressional district, created by Republican incumbent Ralph Norman's gubernatorial bid, has reinforced Republican advantages in this R+11 territory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, unanimous forecaster ratings as Solid Republican, and the structural barriers facing Democratic contenders. With primaries scheduled for June 9, state Senator Wes Climer leads the Republican field while multiple Democratic candidates compete in a crowded primary, but no recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math or introduced competitive shifts. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar districts where incumbency transitions have not disrupted majority-party holds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,753วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina's 5th congressional district, created by Republican incumbent Ralph Norman's gubernatorial bid, has reinforced Republican advantages in this R+11 territory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, unanimous forecaster ratings as Solid Republican, and the structural barriers facing Democratic contenders. With primaries scheduled for June 9, state Senator Wes Climer leads the Republican field while multiple Democratic candidates compete in a crowded primary, but no recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math or introduced competitive shifts. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar districts where incumbency transitions have not disrupted majority-party holds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,753วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina's 5th congressional district, created by Republican incumbent Ralph Norman's gubernatorial bid, has reinforced Republican advantages in this R+11 territory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean, unanimous forecaster ratings as Solid Republican, and the structural barriers facing Democratic contenders. With primaries scheduled for June 9, state Senator Wes Climer leads the Republican field while multiple Democratic candidates compete in a crowded primary, but no recent developments have altered the underlying electoral math or introduced competitive shifts. This consensus aligns with historical patterns in similar districts where incumbency transitions have not disrupted majority-party holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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