South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Solid Republican or Safe R ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces a Republican primary on June 9, 2026, against challenger David Atchley, while Democrat Kathryn Harvey, chair of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party, offers limited statewide visibility in the November 3 general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
$11,304 ปริมาณ
$11,304 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,304 ปริมาณ
$11,304 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Solid Republican or Safe R ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative William Timmons faces a Republican primary on June 9, 2026, against challenger David Atchley, while Democrat Kathryn Harvey, chair of the Spartanburg County Democratic Party, offers limited statewide visibility in the November 3 general election. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the competitive landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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