South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, favors the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election, reflecting trader consensus at 88.5% for Republican Party victory amid historical margins exceeding 60% for incumbents. Incumbent William Timmons holds a commanding fundraising lead—$290,000 cash on hand versus $51,000 for challenger David Atchley and $5,000 for Robert Lee—as of late March filings, bolstering his position ahead of the June 9 Republican primary and potential runoff. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, facing steep structural barriers in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district. No recent polls indicate shifts, with ballots finalized April 1 and Libertarian Jessica Ethridge nominated April 11.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with a Cook PVI of R+11, favors the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election, reflecting trader consensus at 88.5% for Republican Party victory amid historical margins exceeding 60% for incumbents. Incumbent William Timmons holds a commanding fundraising lead—$290,000 cash on hand versus $51,000 for challenger David Atchley and $5,000 for Robert Lee—as of late March filings, bolstering his position ahead of the June 9 Republican primary and potential runoff. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, facing steep structural barriers in this battleground-leaning but reliably red district. No recent polls indicate shifts, with ballots finalized April 1 and Libertarian Jessica Ethridge nominated April 11.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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