Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus (D) dominates the NV-01 Democratic primary with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing underfunded challengers Joy Hoover, Gabriel Cornejo, and Luis Paniagua—who emerged in late April criticizing her age, corporate ties, and votes like the Laken Riley Act—bolstering trader confidence in a Democratic hold at 79% implied probability. The district's D+2 partisan lean, Titus's 2024 general election win (52%-45%), and forecaster ratings (Likely/Lean Democratic by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) underpin this consensus ahead of June 9 closed primaries. Republicans' crowded field, led by well-funded Carrie Buck, prices a GOP upset at just 10% amid national generic ballot Democratic leads and Titus's incumbency edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-01 House Election Winner
NV-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,286 ปริมาณ
79%
Republican Party
$896 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus (D) dominates the NV-01 Democratic primary with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing underfunded challengers Joy Hoover, Gabriel Cornejo, and Luis Paniagua—who emerged in late April criticizing her age, corporate ties, and votes like the Laken Riley Act—bolstering trader confidence in a Democratic hold at 79% implied probability. The district's D+2 partisan lean, Titus's 2024 general election win (52%-45%), and forecaster ratings (Likely/Lean Democratic by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) underpin this consensus ahead of June 9 closed primaries. Republicans' crowded field, led by well-funded Carrie Buck, prices a GOP upset at just 10% amid national generic ballot Democratic leads and Titus's incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus (D) dominates the NV-01 Democratic primary with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing underfunded challengers Joy Hoover, Gabriel Cornejo, and Luis Paniagua—who emerged in late April criticizing her age, corporate ties, and votes like the Laken Riley Act—bolstering trader confidence in a Democratic hold at 79% implied probability. The district's D+2 partisan lean, Titus's 2024 general election win (52%-45%), and forecaster ratings (Likely/Lean Democratic by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) underpin this consensus ahead of June 9 closed primaries. Republicans' crowded field, led by well-funded Carrie Buck, prices a GOP upset at just 10% amid national generic ballot Democratic leads and Titus's incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,182วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus (D) dominates the NV-01 Democratic primary with over $1 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing underfunded challengers Joy Hoover, Gabriel Cornejo, and Luis Paniagua—who emerged in late April criticizing her age, corporate ties, and votes like the Laken Riley Act—bolstering trader confidence in a Democratic hold at 79% implied probability. The district's D+2 partisan lean, Titus's 2024 general election win (52%-45%), and forecaster ratings (Likely/Lean Democratic by Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections) underpin this consensus ahead of June 9 closed primaries. Republicans' crowded field, led by well-funded Carrie Buck, prices a GOP upset at just 10% amid national generic ballot Democratic leads and Titus's incumbency edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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