Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell’s commanding position in Mississippi’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ezell secured 84% in the March 10 GOP primary over Sawyer Walters and follows 74% and 73% general election victories in 2024 and 2022, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean along the Gulf Coast. Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a fragmented primary with 58%, but historical Democratic underperformance persists absent polling. Scenarios to upend odds include a major Ezell scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$19,268 ปริมาณ
$19,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$19,268 ปริมาณ
$19,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,328 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$12,939 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell’s commanding position in Mississippi’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ezell secured 84% in the March 10 GOP primary over Sawyer Walters and follows 74% and 73% general election victories in 2024 and 2022, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean along the Gulf Coast. Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a fragmented primary with 58%, but historical Democratic underperformance persists absent polling. Scenarios to upend odds include a major Ezell scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell’s commanding position in Mississippi’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ezell secured 84% in the March 10 GOP primary over Sawyer Walters and follows 74% and 73% general election victories in 2024 and 2022, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean along the Gulf Coast. Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a fragmented primary with 58%, but historical Democratic underperformance persists absent polling. Scenarios to upend odds include a major Ezell scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell’s commanding position in Mississippi’s 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Ezell secured 84% in the March 10 GOP primary over Sawyer Walters and follows 74% and 73% general election victories in 2024 and 2022, reflecting the district’s consistent conservative lean along the Gulf Coast. Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a fragmented primary with 58%, but historical Democratic underperformance persists absent polling. Scenarios to upend odds include a major Ezell scandal, health crisis, or extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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