Minnesota’s third congressional district has shifted firmly into Democratic territory, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points for the Democratic ticket. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison, who secured 58.4 percent in her first election, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from the district’s suburban Minneapolis base that has consistently favored Democrats since 2016. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic well ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unexpected scandal, health development, or unusually strong Republican recruit could still narrow the margin in the remaining months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,309 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$3,893 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s third congressional district has shifted firmly into Democratic territory, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points for the Democratic ticket. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison, who secured 58.4 percent in her first election, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from the district’s suburban Minneapolis base that has consistently favored Democrats since 2016. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic well ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unexpected scandal, health development, or unusually strong Republican recruit could still narrow the margin in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,202วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota’s third congressional district has shifted firmly into Democratic territory, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points for the Democratic ticket. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison, who secured 58.4 percent in her first election, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from the district’s suburban Minneapolis base that has consistently favored Democrats since 2016. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic well ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unexpected scandal, health development, or unusually strong Republican recruit could still narrow the margin in the remaining months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,202วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s third congressional district has shifted firmly into Democratic territory, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 20 points for the Democratic ticket. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison, who secured 58.4 percent in her first election, faces minimal primary opposition and benefits from the district’s suburban Minneapolis base that has consistently favored Democrats since 2016. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic well ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unexpected scandal, health development, or unusually strong Republican recruit could still narrow the margin in the remaining months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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