Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's reelection bid anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, a seat that has trended steadily leftward with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4. Scholten secured reelection by double digits in 2024 after the district supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points, and independent race ratings classify the contest as solidly or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's recent voting patterns and incumbency advantage limit their path to an upset. Traders price these structural factors into the current implied probabilities, reflecting the limited time remaining for major shifts before the filing deadline and primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$440 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$163 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's reelection bid anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, a seat that has trended steadily leftward with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4. Scholten secured reelection by double digits in 2024 after the district supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points, and independent race ratings classify the contest as solidly or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's recent voting patterns and incumbency advantage limit their path to an upset. Traders price these structural factors into the current implied probabilities, reflecting the limited time remaining for major shifts before the filing deadline and primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$603วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's reelection bid anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, a seat that has trended steadily leftward with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4. Scholten secured reelection by double digits in 2024 after the district supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points, and independent race ratings classify the contest as solidly or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's recent voting patterns and incumbency advantage limit their path to an upset. Traders price these structural factors into the current implied probabilities, reflecting the limited time remaining for major shifts before the filing deadline and primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$603วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten's reelection bid anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, a seat that has trended steadily leftward with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4. Scholten secured reelection by double digits in 2024 after the district supported the Democratic presidential nominee by eight points, and independent race ratings classify the contest as solidly or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Republican primary candidates have emerged, yet the district's recent voting patterns and incumbency advantage limit their path to an upset. Traders price these structural factors into the current implied probabilities, reflecting the limited time remaining for major shifts before the filing deadline and primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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