Michigan's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar, seeking another term in the November 2026 general election, benefits from this structural advantage along with high name recognition and endorsements from within the Republican caucus. Forecasting groups including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 2026 Democratic primary, yet none has generated the fundraising or polling traction needed to close the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$42,903 ปริมาณ
$42,903 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$42,903 ปริมาณ
$42,903 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,645 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$21,258 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar, seeking another term in the November 2026 general election, benefits from this structural advantage along with high name recognition and endorsements from within the Republican caucus. Forecasting groups including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 2026 Democratic primary, yet none has generated the fundraising or polling traction needed to close the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,903วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar, seeking another term in the November 2026 general election, benefits from this structural advantage along with high name recognition and endorsements from within the Republican caucus. Forecasting groups including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 2026 Democratic primary, yet none has generated the fundraising or polling traction needed to close the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,903วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district features a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, which has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar, seeking another term in the November 2026 general election, benefits from this structural advantage along with high name recognition and endorsements from within the Republican caucus. Forecasting groups including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 2026 Democratic primary, yet none has generated the fundraising or polling traction needed to close the gap. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could still introduce volatility before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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