Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's bid for reelection in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Safe R with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's consistent conservative lean in Western Michigan encompassing counties like Kent and Ottawa. Moolenaar's strong 2024 reelection victory and recent announcement to run again, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field with at least six challengers but no standout frontrunner, have solidified this positioning, as no recent polls indicate competitiveness. While national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary could narrow the gap, scenarios like a Republican scandal, Moolenaar health issues, or a Democratic wave remain low-probability disruptors before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$40,102 ปริมาณ
$40,102 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$40,102 ปริมาณ
$40,102 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,378 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$18,724 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's bid for reelection in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Safe R with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's consistent conservative lean in Western Michigan encompassing counties like Kent and Ottawa. Moolenaar's strong 2024 reelection victory and recent announcement to run again, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field with at least six challengers but no standout frontrunner, have solidified this positioning, as no recent polls indicate competitiveness. While national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary could narrow the gap, scenarios like a Republican scandal, Moolenaar health issues, or a Democratic wave remain low-probability disruptors before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,102วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's bid for reelection in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Safe R with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's consistent conservative lean in Western Michigan encompassing counties like Kent and Ottawa. Moolenaar's strong 2024 reelection victory and recent announcement to run again, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field with at least six challengers but no standout frontrunner, have solidified this positioning, as no recent polls indicate competitiveness. While national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary could narrow the gap, scenarios like a Republican scandal, Moolenaar health issues, or a Democratic wave remain low-probability disruptors before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,102วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's bid for reelection in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated Safe R with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party, reflecting the district's consistent conservative lean in Western Michigan encompassing counties like Kent and Ottawa. Moolenaar's strong 2024 reelection victory and recent announcement to run again, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field with at least six challengers but no standout frontrunner, have solidified this positioning, as no recent polls indicate competitiveness. While national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary could narrow the gap, scenarios like a Republican scandal, Moolenaar health issues, or a Democratic wave remain low-probability disruptors before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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