Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman's dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and $798,000 cash on hand as of late March—positions the GOP as heavy favorites at 81% trader consensus in Michigan's 1st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+11 partisan lean where Trump won 60%-39% in 2024. Bergman's prior general election victories by 20+ points against repeat challenger Callie Barr, who leads Democratic primary foes with $256,000 cash but trails financially, reinforce the edge amid yesterday's April 21 filing deadline confirming expected primary fields: Republicans Bergman vs. Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal; Democrats Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles. August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though district fundamentals suggest limited paths for Democrats or independent Zebulon Featherly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-01 House Election Winner
MI-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,425 ปริมาณ
81%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman's dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and $798,000 cash on hand as of late March—positions the GOP as heavy favorites at 81% trader consensus in Michigan's 1st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+11 partisan lean where Trump won 60%-39% in 2024. Bergman's prior general election victories by 20+ points against repeat challenger Callie Barr, who leads Democratic primary foes with $256,000 cash but trails financially, reinforce the edge amid yesterday's April 21 filing deadline confirming expected primary fields: Republicans Bergman vs. Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal; Democrats Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles. August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though district fundamentals suggest limited paths for Democrats or independent Zebulon Featherly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,425วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman's dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and $798,000 cash on hand as of late March—positions the GOP as heavy favorites at 81% trader consensus in Michigan's 1st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+11 partisan lean where Trump won 60%-39% in 2024. Bergman's prior general election victories by 20+ points against repeat challenger Callie Barr, who leads Democratic primary foes with $256,000 cash but trails financially, reinforce the edge amid yesterday's April 21 filing deadline confirming expected primary fields: Republicans Bergman vs. Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal; Democrats Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles. August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though district fundamentals suggest limited paths for Democrats or independent Zebulon Featherly.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,425วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman's dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and $798,000 cash on hand as of late March—positions the GOP as heavy favorites at 81% trader consensus in Michigan's 1st Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat with R+11 partisan lean where Trump won 60%-39% in 2024. Bergman's prior general election victories by 20+ points against repeat challenger Callie Barr, who leads Democratic primary foes with $256,000 cash but trails financially, reinforce the edge amid yesterday's April 21 filing deadline confirming expected primary fields: Republicans Bergman vs. Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal; Democrats Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles. August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though district fundamentals suggest limited paths for Democrats or independent Zebulon Featherly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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