Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth's April 13 filing for reelection has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Howard County and parts of Anne Arundel with a partisan voting index around D+14. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, reflecting the district's history of large Democratic margins—such as Elfreth's 2024 general election win—and incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 95% absent upheaval. The June 23 primaries will select nominees, but structural factors heavily favor Democrats. Odds could move on a damaging Elfreth scandal, weak Democratic nominee, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though such shifts remain low-probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,046 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$1,829 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth's April 13 filing for reelection has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Howard County and parts of Anne Arundel with a partisan voting index around D+14. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, reflecting the district's history of large Democratic margins—such as Elfreth's 2024 general election win—and incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 95% absent upheaval. The June 23 primaries will select nominees, but structural factors heavily favor Democrats. Odds could move on a damaging Elfreth scandal, weak Democratic nominee, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though such shifts remain low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,875วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth's April 13 filing for reelection has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Howard County and parts of Anne Arundel with a partisan voting index around D+14. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, reflecting the district's history of large Democratic margins—such as Elfreth's 2024 general election win—and incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 95% absent upheaval. The June 23 primaries will select nominees, but structural factors heavily favor Democrats. Odds could move on a damaging Elfreth scandal, weak Democratic nominee, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though such shifts remain low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,875วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth's April 13 filing for reelection has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat encompassing Howard County and parts of Anne Arundel with a partisan voting index around D+14. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, reflecting the district's history of large Democratic margins—such as Elfreth's 2024 general election win—and incumbency advantages in safe seats, where reelection rates exceed 95% absent upheaval. The June 23 primaries will select nominees, but structural factors heavily favor Democrats. Odds could move on a damaging Elfreth scandal, weak Democratic nominee, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave, though such shifts remain low-probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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