Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and voting patterns from recent cycles, including the 2024 presidential results that placed it well above the national average. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the seat in 2024 with 59 percent, and the upcoming June 23 primary features multiple Democratic candidates while Republican interest remains limited ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural tilt, reinforced by the district’s suburban and professional demographics across Howard and Anne Arundel counties. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unforeseen national shift, candidate scandal, or late redistricting alteration, none of which have materialized in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$26,066 ปริมาณ
$26,066 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$26,066 ปริมาณ
$26,066 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,244 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,822 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and voting patterns from recent cycles, including the 2024 presidential results that placed it well above the national average. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the seat in 2024 with 59 percent, and the upcoming June 23 primary features multiple Democratic candidates while Republican interest remains limited ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural tilt, reinforced by the district’s suburban and professional demographics across Howard and Anne Arundel counties. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unforeseen national shift, candidate scandal, or late redistricting alteration, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,066วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and voting patterns from recent cycles, including the 2024 presidential results that placed it well above the national average. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the seat in 2024 with 59 percent, and the upcoming June 23 primary features multiple Democratic candidates while Republican interest remains limited ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural tilt, reinforced by the district’s suburban and professional demographics across Howard and Anne Arundel counties. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unforeseen national shift, candidate scandal, or late redistricting alteration, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,066วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and voting patterns from recent cycles, including the 2024 presidential results that placed it well above the national average. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the seat in 2024 with 59 percent, and the upcoming June 23 primary features multiple Democratic candidates while Republican interest remains limited ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural tilt, reinforced by the district’s suburban and professional demographics across Howard and Anne Arundel counties. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unforeseen national shift, candidate scandal, or late redistricting alteration, none of which have materialized in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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