Massachusetts's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles. Incumbent Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest, while Republican candidates face limited visibility and fundraising in the general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of viable Republican challengers create substantial structural barriers to an upset. A national political shift or unusually weak Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios given current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$14,691 ปริมาณ
$14,691 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
3%
$14,691 ปริมาณ
$14,691 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,787 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$7,903 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles. Incumbent Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest, while Republican candidates face limited visibility and fundraising in the general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of viable Republican challengers create substantial structural barriers to an upset. A national political shift or unusually weak Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,691วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles. Incumbent Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest, while Republican candidates face limited visibility and fundraising in the general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of viable Republican challengers create substantial structural barriers to an upset. A national political shift or unusually weak Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,691วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles. Incumbent Seth Moulton’s decision to pursue a U.S. Senate seat created an open seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest, while Republican candidates face limited visibility and fundraising in the general election scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability because historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of viable Republican challengers create substantial structural barriers to an upset. A national political shift or unusually weak Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability scenarios given current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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