Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+12 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the party. Longtime incumbent John Larson faces a contested August 11 primary against endorsed challenger Luke Bronin, following Bronin's upset convention win on May 11 (51%-49%), amid generational change debates and Larson's recent health episode; however, both lead fundraisers far outpace the lone Republican candidate Amy Chai, who holds negative cash-on-hand. Historical margins exceeding 25 points for Democrats reinforce the lopsided odds, though a major scandal, nominee health crisis, or national Republican wave could narrow the path. Filing deadline is June 9.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+12 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the party. Longtime incumbent John Larson faces a contested August 11 primary against endorsed challenger Luke Bronin, following Bronin's upset convention win on May 11 (51%-49%), amid generational change debates and Larson's recent health episode; however, both lead fundraisers far outpace the lone Republican candidate Amy Chai, who holds negative cash-on-hand. Historical margins exceeding 25 points for Democrats reinforce the lopsided odds, though a major scandal, nominee health crisis, or national Republican wave could narrow the path. Filing deadline is June 9.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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