Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors "No" at 51% for Chirayu Rana being fired, driven by a New York Post exclusive revealing he quietly departed principal role at Bregal Sagemount on April 2—three weeks ago and before his pseudonym-protected lawsuit against ex-JPMorgan supervisor Lorna Hajdini exploded publicly. JPMorgan's internal probe cleared Hajdini of fabricated sexual abuse and racial harassment claims, leading to lawsuit retraction, but Rana's JPMorgan exit circumstances remain ambiguous. The close odds reflect Bregal's neutral "no longer an employee" statement, lacking firing confirmation versus resignation evidence. Tipping factors include Bregal clarification on termination terms, court documents detailing departures, or Rana's response amid ongoing scrutiny.