The solidly Democratic lean of Arizona’s Third Congressional District, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 70.9 percent victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 have drawn limited Republican interest, with candidates including Kirt Burgess and Nicholas Glenn, while the Democratic primary pits Yassamin Ansari against Sandy Cano-Bravo. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. A challenge to the current odds would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general or an unforeseen development during the primary period that alters voter turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic-leaning area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$11,983 ปริมาณ
$11,983 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$11,983 ปริมาณ
$11,983 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,686 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$4,297 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Arizona’s Third Congressional District, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 70.9 percent victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 have drawn limited Republican interest, with candidates including Kirt Burgess and Nicholas Glenn, while the Democratic primary pits Yassamin Ansari against Sandy Cano-Bravo. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. A challenge to the current odds would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general or an unforeseen development during the primary period that alters voter turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,983วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of Arizona’s Third Congressional District, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 70.9 percent victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 have drawn limited Republican interest, with candidates including Kirt Burgess and Nicholas Glenn, while the Democratic primary pits Yassamin Ansari against Sandy Cano-Bravo. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. A challenge to the current odds would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general or an unforeseen development during the primary period that alters voter turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,983วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic lean of Arizona’s Third Congressional District, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent’s 70.9 percent victory in 2024, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 have drawn limited Republican interest, with candidates including Kirt Burgess and Nicholas Glenn, while the Democratic primary pits Yassamin Ansari against Sandy Cano-Bravo. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. A challenge to the current odds would require an unusually strong Republican performance in the general or an unforeseen development during the primary period that alters voter turnout patterns in this heavily Democratic-leaning area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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