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Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?

Market icon

Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,918,598 Объем

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,918,598 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) Public statements from both Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado announcing that they are sharing the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize or that the Nobel prize has been transferred to Trump.

This does not require official confirmation from the Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Statements that merely express a desire to share the prize or otherwise endorse the idea of sharing, without clearly demonstrating an agreement to share or an active sharing of the prize, will not count.

2) A consensus of credible reporting or statements from both Machado and Trump confirm that the physical 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal has been transferred to Trump for permanent ownership or joint ownership with Machado.

3) The Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee officially recognize Donald Trump as a co-recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.

The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado, official information from the Nobel Peace Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee (https://www.nobelprize.org/), and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,918,598
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) Public statements from both Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado announcing that they are sharing the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize or that the Nobel prize has been transferred to Trump. This does not require official confirmation from the Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Statements that merely express a desire to share the prize or otherwise endorse the idea of sharing, without clearly demonstrating an agreement to share or an active sharing of the prize, will not count. 2) A consensus of credible reporting or statements from both Machado and Trump confirm that the physical 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal has been transferred to Trump for permanent ownership or joint ownership with Machado. 3) The Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee officially recognize Donald Trump as a co-recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado, official information from the Nobel Peace Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee (https://www.nobelprize.org/), and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

1) Public statements from both Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado announcing that they are sharing the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize or that the Nobel prize has been transferred to Trump.

This does not require official confirmation from the Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Statements that merely express a desire to share the prize or otherwise endorse the idea of sharing, without clearly demonstrating an agreement to share or an active sharing of the prize, will not count.

2) A consensus of credible reporting or statements from both Machado and Trump confirm that the physical 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal has been transferred to Trump for permanent ownership or joint ownership with Machado.

3) The Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee officially recognize Donald Trump as a co-recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.

The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado, official information from the Nobel Peace Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee (https://www.nobelprize.org/), and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,918,598
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) Public statements from both Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado announcing that they are sharing the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize or that the Nobel prize has been transferred to Trump. This does not require official confirmation from the Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Statements that merely express a desire to share the prize or otherwise endorse the idea of sharing, without clearly demonstrating an agreement to share or an active sharing of the prize, will not count. 2) A consensus of credible reporting or statements from both Machado and Trump confirm that the physical 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal has been transferred to Trump for permanent ownership or joint ownership with Machado. 3) The Nobel Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee officially recognize Donald Trump as a co-recipient of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Maria Corina Machado, official information from the Nobel Peace Prize or the Norwegian Nobel Committee (https://www.nobelprize.org/), and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Разделят ли Трамп и Мачадо Нобелевскую премию мира?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?" is "Разделят ли Трамп и Мачадо Нобелевскую премию мира?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Будут ли Трамп и Мачадо вместе получать Нобелевскую премию мира?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.