Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
$36,884 Объем
$36,884 Объем
Jan 13, 2024
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Дата создания: Dec 5, 2023, 2:49 PM ET
Объем
$36,884Дата окончания
Jan 13, 2024Дата создания
Dec 5, 2023, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
$36,884 Объем
$36,884 Объем
Jan 13, 2024
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$36,884Дата окончания
Jan 13, 2024Дата создания
Dec 5, 2023, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?" has generated $36.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions