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Технологии·Близнецы 3

Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?

Market icon
Технологии·Близнецы 3

Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?

Ended: мар. 31

апр. 30

июн. 30

Ended: мар. 31

апр. 30

июн. 30

Anthropic 100.0%

Alibaba <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$1,392,610 Объем

Anthropic 100.0%

Alibaba <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$1,392,610 Объем

Market icon

Alibaba

$74,803 Объем

Нет

Market icon

DeepSeek

$157,248 Объем

Нет

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Google

$128,864 Объем

Нет

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Baidu

$84,944 Объем

Нет

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Moonshot

$66,159 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Anthropic

$111,679 Объем

Да

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Z.ai

$65,125 Объем

Нет

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Mistral

$579,016 Объем

Нет

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OpenAI

$43,648 Объем

Нет

Market icon

xAI

$61,415 Объем

Нет

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Meituan

$19,709 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as having the second-best AI model by March 31, 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 securing a commanding runner-up position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 1503 Elo—trailing only Gemini 3.1 Pro's 1505 while far ahead of rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, xAI's Grok-4.20, and Chinese contenders such as DeepSeek or Alibaba's Qwen. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude 4.6 release in early March, which demonstrated superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal benchmarks amid a flurry of 12 new large language models that month, solidifying its competitive edge through crowdsourced battles and verified evaluations. With the market resolving imminently, only an improbable last-minute leaderboard refresh or surprise model drop from Google or OpenAI could challenge this near-certain outcome, though traders see negligible risk given stable rankings over the past week.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,392,610
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as having the second-best AI model by March 31, 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 securing a commanding runner-up position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 1503 Elo—trailing only Gemini 3.1 Pro's 1505 while far ahead of rivals like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, xAI's Grok-4.20, and Chinese contenders such as DeepSeek or Alibaba's Qwen. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude 4.6 release in early March, which demonstrated superior reasoning, coding, and multimodal benchmarks amid a flurry of 12 new large language models that month, solidifying its competitive edge through crowdsourced battles and verified evaluations. With the market resolving imminently, only an improbable last-minute leaderboard refresh or surprise model drop from Google or OpenAI could challenge this near-certain outcome, though traders see negligible risk given stable rankings over the past week.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,392,610
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthropic» с 100%, за ним следует «Alibaba» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.4 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?» — «Anthropic» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Alibaba» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце марта?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.