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Технологии·Близнецы 3

Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)

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Технологии·Близнецы 3

Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)

Ended: мар. 31

апр. 30

Ended: мар. 31

апр. 30

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$428,694 Объем

Google 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

DeepSeek <1%

Polymarket

$428,694 Объем

Market icon

Google

$45,746 Объем

Да

Market icon

OpenAI

$41,027 Объем

Нет

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Z.ai

$131,881 Объем

Нет

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DeepSeek

$39,245 Объем

Нет

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Mistral

$16,916 Объем

Нет

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Anthropic

$59,639 Объем

Нет

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Alibaba

$25,813 Объем

Нет

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xAI

$35,445 Объем

Нет

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Moonshot

$20,342 Объем

Нет

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Meituan

$12,639 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Google holding the #3 spot on LM Arena's Text leaderboard (Style Control On) by March 31, 2026, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's entrenched position after its late-March release. This setup emerged from intense blind human preference battles over the past week, where Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 secured #1 and #2 through superior reasoning and coding prowess, leaving Gemini 3.1 Pro unchallenged at #3 with a robust Arena Score gap. Style Control mitigates presentation biases, emphasizing substantive AI capabilities. DeepSeek V3.2 and xAI's Grok trail due to weaker recent battle outcomes. Realistic challenges—a surprise vote swing or unannounced tweak—are improbable given the snapshot resolution timing and low contender momentum.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$428,694
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Google holding the #3 spot on LM Arena's Text leaderboard (Style Control On) by March 31, 2026, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's entrenched position after its late-March release. This setup emerged from intense blind human preference battles over the past week, where Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 secured #1 and #2 through superior reasoning and coding prowess, leaving Gemini 3.1 Pro unchallenged at #3 with a robust Arena Score gap. Style Control mitigates presentation biases, emphasizing substantive AI capabilities. DeepSeek V3.2 and xAI's Grok trail due to weaker recent battle outcomes. Realistic challenges—a surprise vote swing or unannounced tweak—are improbable given the snapshot resolution timing and low contender momentum.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$428,694
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Google» с 100%, за ним следует «OpenAI» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $428.7K с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)» — «Google» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «OpenAI» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №3 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.