Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$7,261 Объем
$380
Да
$390
Да
$400
Нет
$410
Нет
$420
Нет
$7,261 Объем
$380
Да
$390
Да
$400
Нет
$410
Нет
$420
Нет
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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