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Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead) 100%

Trump by 1.4-1.6 100.0%

Trump by 1.7-1.9 100.0%

Trump by 2.0-2.2 100.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 Объем

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as of April 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is less than Trump +1.4 percentage points, or if Biden is ahead. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on April 5, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is not available by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of April 5, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Объем
$46,104
Дата окончания
Apr 5, 2024
Дата создания
Mar 25, 2024, 6:49 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as of April 5, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is less than Trump +1.4 percentage points, or if Biden is ahead. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on April 5, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is not available by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of April 5, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)" at 100%, followed by "Trump by 1.4-1.6" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" has generated $46.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" is "Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump by 1.4-1.6" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead) 100%

Trump by 1.4-1.6 100.0%

Trump by 1.7-1.9 100.0%

Trump by 2.0-2.2 100.0%

Polymarket

$46,104 Объем

Market icon

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

$16,099 Объем

Yes

Market icon

Trump by 1.4-1.6

$3,461 Объем

No

Market icon

Trump by 1.7-1.9

$6,045 Объем

No

Market icon

Trump by 2.0-2.2

$11,012 Объем

No

Market icon

Trump by 2.3-2.5

$5,434 Объем

No

Market icon

Trump by >2.5

$4,052 Объем

No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)" at 100%, followed by "Trump by 1.4-1.6" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" has generated $46.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" is "Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump by 1.4-1.6" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.