Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 79.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office indicators amid fierce competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Warner Bros. horror-thriller earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3 million on Friday from 2,778 locations—translating to roughly $830 per screen—far below expectations for a wide release starring Zazie Beetz. Pre-release tracking had pegged a $6-10 million debut, but mixed reviews (71% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited buzz following its SXSW premiere failed to ignite audience turnout, with "Project Hail Mary" dominating at $14.6 million Friday. Saturday and Sunday estimates will confirm, but current multipliers suggest little weekend rebound potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 80%
5-6m 15%
6-7m 1.1%
7-8m <1%
$123,225 Объем
$123,225 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
80%
5-6m
15%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 80%
5-6m 15%
6-7m 1.1%
7-8m <1%
$123,225 Объем
$123,225 Объем
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$36,025 Объем
80%
5-6m
$15,708 Объем
15%
6-7m
$18,084 Объем
1%
7-8m
$13,308 Объем
1%
>8m
$40,100 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 79.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office indicators amid fierce competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Warner Bros. horror-thriller earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3 million on Friday from 2,778 locations—translating to roughly $830 per screen—far below expectations for a wide release starring Zazie Beetz. Pre-release tracking had pegged a $6-10 million debut, but mixed reviews (71% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited buzz following its SXSW premiere failed to ignite audience turnout, with "Project Hail Mary" dominating at $14.6 million Friday. Saturday and Sunday estimates will confirm, but current multipliers suggest little weekend rebound potential.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Объем
$123,225Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 79.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office indicators amid fierce competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Warner Bros. horror-thriller earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3 million on Friday from 2,778 locations—translating to roughly $830 per screen—far below expectations for a wide release starring Zazie Beetz. Pre-release tracking had pegged a $6-10 million debut, but mixed reviews (71% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited buzz following its SXSW premiere failed to ignite audience turnout, with "Project Hail Mary" dominating at $14.6 million Friday. Saturday and Sunday estimates will confirm, but current multipliers suggest little weekend rebound potential.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$123,225Дата окончания
Mar 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend at 79.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office indicators amid fierce competition from holdover hit "Project Hail Mary." The Warner Bros. horror-thriller earned a modest $1 million in Thursday previews and just $2.3 million on Friday from 2,778 locations—translating to roughly $830 per screen—far below expectations for a wide release starring Zazie Beetz. Pre-release tracking had pegged a $6-10 million debut, but mixed reviews (71% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited buzz following its SXSW premiere failed to ignite audience turnout, with "Project Hail Mary" dominating at $14.6 million Friday. Saturday and Sunday estimates will confirm, but current multipliers suggest little weekend rebound potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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