Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly bullish for silver's (SI) June settlement, with the >$115 bin leading at 17% implied probability amid a tight race where no outcome exceeds 17% and mid-range bins cluster around 10-13%. This fragmented sentiment stems primarily from gold's record rally—up over 30% YTD—spilling into silver via shared inflation-hedge flows, amplified by surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics amid supply constraints in Mexico and Peru. Key differentiators include upcoming FOMC signals on rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and propel prices past $100 if easing accelerates, versus recession risks curbing demand and capping at $60-90; traders weigh these against COMEX inventories near multi-year lows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
На что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
>$115 17%
$100–$115 14%
$60–$70 12.7%
$70–$80 12.3%
$375,403 Объем
$375,403 Объем
< $50
12%
$50-$60
12%
$60–$70
13%
$70–$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
14%
>$115
17%
>$115 17%
$100–$115 14%
$60–$70 12.7%
$70–$80 12.3%
$375,403 Объем
$375,403 Объем
< $50
12%
$50-$60
12%
$60–$70
13%
$70–$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
14%
>$115
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts modestly bullish for silver's (SI) June settlement, with the >$115 bin leading at 17% implied probability amid a tight race where no outcome exceeds 17% and mid-range bins cluster around 10-13%. This fragmented sentiment stems primarily from gold's record rally—up over 30% YTD—spilling into silver via shared inflation-hedge flows, amplified by surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics amid supply constraints in Mexico and Peru. Key differentiators include upcoming FOMC signals on rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and propel prices past $100 if easing accelerates, versus recession risks curbing demand and capping at $60-90; traders weigh these against COMEX inventories near multi-year lows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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