Recent volatility in silver futures stems primarily from mixed macroeconomic signals, including a May 11 U.S.-China tariff truce that lifted prices 6% intraday before hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% prompted a pullback, reinforcing expectations for delayed Federal Reserve easing. These swings have compressed trader-implied probabilities tightly around the $70–$90 June 2026 settlement range, where the leading two bins together account for 44.2% of market odds amid current front-month levels near $76.50. Structural factors such as persistent supply deficits and resilient industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors provide underlying support, while the gold-silver ratio near 55:1 highlights relative strength. With no single outcome exceeding 23%, the market reflects balanced positioning ahead of the next CPI release and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
$70–$80 22.7%
$80-$90 22%
$60–$70 18.3%
$90–$100 11%
$616,445 Объем
$616,445 Объем
< $50
2%
$50-$60
6%
$60–$70
18%
$70–$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
6%
>$115
7%
$70–$80 22.7%
$80-$90 22%
$60–$70 18.3%
$90–$100 11%
$616,445 Объем
$616,445 Объем
< $50
2%
$50-$60
6%
$60–$70
18%
$70–$80
23%
$80-$90
22%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
6%
>$115
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent volatility in silver futures stems primarily from mixed macroeconomic signals, including a May 11 U.S.-China tariff truce that lifted prices 6% intraday before hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% prompted a pullback, reinforcing expectations for delayed Federal Reserve easing. These swings have compressed trader-implied probabilities tightly around the $70–$90 June 2026 settlement range, where the leading two bins together account for 44.2% of market odds amid current front-month levels near $76.50. Structural factors such as persistent supply deficits and resilient industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors provide underlying support, while the gold-silver ratio near 55:1 highlights relative strength. With no single outcome exceeding 23%, the market reflects balanced positioning ahead of the next CPI release and FOMC communications that could shift rate-path expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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