Polymarket traders' fragmented sentiment on silver (SI) June settlement, with >$115 at 17% implied probability edging out clustered bins from $50-$115, reflects a tug-of-war between bullish industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Silver spot hovers near $31.50/oz, up 25% year-to-date on solar panel usage surging 25% amid global green energy investments, compounded by persistent mine supply deficits of 200M+ ounces annually. Bullish tails above $100 hinge on Fed rate cuts weakening the dollar (DXY at 103.50) and gold-silver ratio compression from 82:1, while sub-$70 odds weigh recession risks and sticky inflation. Key watch: November payrolls and December FOMC could tip consensus toward upside breakout or retrenchment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНа что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
На что рассчитается Silver (SI) в июне?
>$115 17%
$100–$115 14%
$60–$70 12.6%
< $50 12%
$375,303 Объем
$375,303 Объем
< $50
12%
$50-$60
12%
$60–$70
13%
$70–$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
14%
>$115
17%
>$115 17%
$100–$115 14%
$60–$70 12.6%
< $50 12%
$375,303 Объем
$375,303 Объем
< $50
12%
$50-$60
12%
$60–$70
13%
$70–$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90–$100
11%
$100–$115
14%
>$115
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' fragmented sentiment on silver (SI) June settlement, with >$115 at 17% implied probability edging out clustered bins from $50-$115, reflects a tug-of-war between bullish industrial demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Silver spot hovers near $31.50/oz, up 25% year-to-date on solar panel usage surging 25% amid global green energy investments, compounded by persistent mine supply deficits of 200M+ ounces annually. Bullish tails above $100 hinge on Fed rate cuts weakening the dollar (DXY at 103.50) and gold-silver ratio compression from 82:1, while sub-$70 odds weigh recession risks and sticky inflation. Key watch: November payrolls and December FOMC could tip consensus toward upside breakout or retrenchment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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