Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $80-85 million domestic opening for Project Hail Mary at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the sci-fi adaptation's viral teaser trailer, which amassed millions of views and sparked positive buzz on social media. Early tracking from Deadline and Fandango reports strong pre-sales, aligning with comparables like Dune ($41M pre-inflation adjusted) and Top Gun: Maverick ($126M), boosted by Andy Weir's devoted fanbase and directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's hit pedigree. The 75-80M range (22.5%) reflects caution over March release competition, while lower buckets fade amid upbeat sentiment; watch for updated studio projections ahead of the March 2026 debut.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
Открытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
80–85 млн 67%
75–80 млн 26%
70-75 млн 4.3%
85-90 млн 3.9%
$668,938 Объем
$668,938 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
<1%
70-75 млн
4%
75–80 млн
26%
80–85 млн
67%
85-90 млн
4%
>90 млн
1%
80–85 млн 67%
75–80 млн 26%
70-75 млн 4.3%
85-90 млн 3.9%
$668,938 Объем
$668,938 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
<1%
70-75 млн
4%
75–80 млн
26%
80–85 млн
67%
85-90 млн
4%
>90 млн
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $80-85 million domestic opening for Project Hail Mary at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the sci-fi adaptation's viral teaser trailer, which amassed millions of views and sparked positive buzz on social media. Early tracking from Deadline and Fandango reports strong pre-sales, aligning with comparables like Dune ($41M pre-inflation adjusted) and Top Gun: Maverick ($126M), boosted by Andy Weir's devoted fanbase and directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's hit pedigree. The 75-80M range (22.5%) reflects caution over March release competition, while lower buckets fade amid upbeat sentiment; watch for updated studio projections ahead of the March 2026 debut.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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