Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Project Hail Mary for an $80-85 million opening weekend at 61% implied probability, propelled by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the proven draw of Andy Weir's bestselling novel, akin to The Martian's $54 million debut (inflation-adjusted ~$70 million today). Supporting the 75-90 million cluster (96.7% combined), directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's visual effects pedigree from Spider-Verse bolsters sci-fi appeal amid genre dominance like Dune's openings. Recent catalysts include July 2024 production start in the UK, first-look images sparking buzz on social platforms, and early tracking whispers of robust presales for the March 20, 2026, release—though final odds hinge on trailer drops and holiday marketing pushes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
Открытие кассы выходного дня «Project Hail Mary»
80–85 млн 61%
75–80 млн 22%
85-90 млн 15.0%
70-75 млн 1.7%
$638,306 Объем
$638,306 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
<1%
70-75 млн
2%
75–80 млн
22%
80–85 млн
61%
85-90 млн
15%
>90 млн
2%
80–85 млн 61%
75–80 млн 22%
85-90 млн 15.0%
70-75 млн 1.7%
$638,306 Объем
$638,306 Объем
<50 млн
<1%
50–55 млн
<1%
55-60 млн
<1%
60-65 млн
<1%
65-70 млн
<1%
70-75 млн
2%
75–80 млн
22%
80–85 млн
61%
85-90 млн
15%
>90 млн
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Project Hail Mary for an $80-85 million opening weekend at 61% implied probability, propelled by Ryan Gosling's post-Barbie star power and the proven draw of Andy Weir's bestselling novel, akin to The Martian's $54 million debut (inflation-adjusted ~$70 million today). Supporting the 75-90 million cluster (96.7% combined), directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's visual effects pedigree from Spider-Verse bolsters sci-fi appeal amid genre dominance like Dune's openings. Recent catalysts include July 2024 production start in the UK, first-look images sparking buzz on social platforms, and early tracking whispers of robust presales for the March 20, 2026, release—though final odds hinge on trailer drops and holiday marketing pushes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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