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Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

Market icon

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

<2.4M 100.0%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$4,011 Объем

<2.4M 100.0%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$4,011 Объем

<2.4M

$1,402 Объем

Yes

2.4M-2.6M

$392 Объем

No

2.6M-2.8M

$640 Объем

No

2.8M-3.0M

$243 Объем

No

3.0M-3.2M

$252 Объем

No

>3.2M

$1,083 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 31, driven by the protracted Department of Homeland Security shutdown fueling acute staffing shortages—up to 50% call-out rates and over 450 officer resignations—causing record four-hour security lines that deterred travel demand. Official TSA data released April 1 confirms 2,154,213 screenings, down from March 30's 2.53 million (12% below year-ago levels) and recent peaks near 2.75 million, reflecting sustained volume suppression amid economic uncertainty. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include data revisions or sudden shutdown end spurring rebound traffic, though confirmed figures minimize such risks ahead of routine weekly updates.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$4,011
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on March 31, driven by the protracted Department of Homeland Security shutdown fueling acute staffing shortages—up to 50% call-out rates and over 450 officer resignations—causing record four-hour security lines that deterred travel demand. Official TSA data released April 1 confirms 2,154,213 screenings, down from March 30's 2.53 million (12% below year-ago levels) and recent peaks near 2.75 million, reflecting sustained volume suppression amid economic uncertainty. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include data revisions or sudden shutdown end spurring rebound traffic, though confirmed figures minimize such risks ahead of routine weekly updates.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$4,011
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<2.4M» с 100%, за ним следует «2.4M-2.6M» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» — «<2.4M» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2.4M-2.6M» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers March 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.